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Hitler's signature work, "Mein Kampf," was written while he was in prison (!), following the failure of his so-called "Beer Hall Putsch" in Munich in 1923.

In the book, he laid out in excruciating detail, a step-by-step blueprint of his future plans, which included:

  1. Making himself the absolute dictator (not a President or even king with constitutionally limited power) of the country that imprisoned him.
  2. Destroying or pushing to the brink of destruction the enemies of his adopted country, to the point of at least threatening to dominate the whole world.
  3. Using his future (!) soldiers and "policemen" to arrest and kill as many members of his least favorite group as they could get their hands on.

Hitler's subsequent rise to power was improbable for the following reasons:

  1. he was a prisoner (and a convicted felon) at the time he wrote the book;
  2. although "German-speaking," he had been born an Austrian, not a German; and
  3. he was poor, badly educated (a high school drop-out who was turned down for post-secondary school training (art schools in Vienna)), and a former "foot soldier" (not commissioned officer) from World War I.

In short, he was less than obvious "leadership" material.

Unfortunately, Hitler did "execute." But no one in power took "Mein Kampf" seriously, with the notable exception of Winston Churchill (who was, however,"out of power" early on).

Has any other leader (or CEO) in history (political, commercial, religious) similarly followed the script of a book he published before his coming to power?

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I think "precise" or "prescriptive" is better than "accurate". Probably wouldn't get you as many close votes. I suppose I agree mien Kampf was prescriptive, but I'm not sure how well the specific details lined up with real life. – Nathan Cooper Mar 11 at 18:07
@NathanCooper: The details were eerily "accurate." But I took your suggestion to use prescriptive. I put "accurate" in quotes earlier because I couldn't find the right word. Now that I've edited the post, people can "undownvote" it. Would any of the downvoters care to do so? – Tom Au Mar 11 at 18:11

2 Answers

The example that comes to my mind is Frederick W. Smith, who, as a student at Yale in the 1960s, wrote a wild-sounding economics paper about a proposal for an air courier service. This was before he "came to power." It reportedly received a C from a professor who said, "The idea has to work in the real world."

Five years or so, later, while Smith was still in his twenties, he founded Federal Express, a company modeled along the lines of his paper. That's rather improbable, for a twenty-something to become the CEO of a company that would become a major corporation.

It was only slightly more probable than the story of the poor, badly educated former foot soldier, who, in eight years (1925-1933) rose from prisoner to the second most powerful man in the world (after FDR). Few, if anyone has produced such a deadly accurate "business plan" before becoming "CEO." Hopefully, no one will ever again "execute" (in more ways than one) like him.

Incidentally, Smith has said that he learned more from history, than business, books. http://www.usnews.com/news/campaign-2008/articles/2008/07/24/10-things-you-didnt-know-about-fred-smith

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+1 , a well thought of example – Barath Bushan Mar 21 at 12:07

A lot of people are right now following George Orwell's 1984 as a manual for what the perfect society should look like and implementing it in various countries all around the world.
Same with Marx's Das Kapital, that's been used like that for a century or more.

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Pretty good answer, and an upvote. But my "real" question was not, did someone accurately predict something, but rather, did someone faithfully follow his own script? Orwell and Marx didn't make THEMSELVES dictators (even though they reasonably predicted dictatorships by OTHERS). – Tom Au Mar 9 at 16:44
@TomAu not quite. He mentions Hitler following his own book, but the actual question doesn't say it has to be a book written by the person(s) using it. – jwenting Mar 9 at 16:47
jwenting: Ok, added HE to "Has any other leader (or CEO) in history (political, commercial, religious) similarly followed the script of a book HE published BEFORE his coming to power?" – Tom Au Mar 9 at 16:51
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Das Kapital doesn't contain a programme, nor does it contain predictions about future function except the argument over the decline of rate of profit (between OCC crises? absolutely) and emiseration (relative? absolute?), both of which were bleedingly obvious in the 50 year trend data. – Samuel Russell Mar 13 at 19:23
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1984 was a proscribed book in most of the Soviet bloc. The only exception I know of is Yugoslavia – ExpatEgghead Apr 21 at 16:49

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