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Every few years, I rewatch a five hour BBC documentary about the breakup of Yugoslavia. The documentary begins with Milosevic's rise to power and his assertion of Serb rights in Kosovo. The video only alludes to "reforms" he promotes there. The next episode deals with the election of the nationalist Tudgman in Croatia and also refers to nationalist "reforms" he instituted in his own republic, reforms resisted by the minority Serb population. I've had a hard time tracking down info on the actual content of these reforms. Although the documentary and the general western narrative pin the blame for the breakup on Milosevic, on the face of it and without knowing what these reforms actually were, both men's actions seem pretty divisive. Milosevic, for instance, did seem to be trying to hold things together even if he was way more assertive than his predecessors. Whereas Tudgman explicitly called for confederation.

Does Milosevic really deserve so much blame or is this just general western, NATO country bias?

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    My guess is that this is less a case of someone being responsible for the breakup than there being no one strong enough to keep it together. – KillingTime Jun 24 '18 at 7:05
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    That's a very difficult question to answer. No one in particular was more responsible. All parties were. The 'good' ones and the 'bad' ones. – Jos Jun 24 '18 at 7:21
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    I would only submit (alongside my own experience growing up in america in the 90s and listening to the american media's villification of the serbs) that the documentary (to which i'll link below) literally opens with narrator saying "this is the man whose embrace of nationalism is blamed for all the wars in yugoslavia today, slobadan milosevic" – nick Jun 24 '18 at 12:31
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    Comments ask for clarification; clarifications should be made in edits to the question. The question should contain all the material needed to start research. – Mark C. Wallace Jun 24 '18 at 15:32
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    The problem with this question is the starting assumption that "Yugoslavia together" is the natural state of things. It might be useful to turn the question around, and start by asking why Tito was able to keep Yugoslavia together. – jamesqf Jun 24 '18 at 17:32
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This depends on how you define "responsible"

The immediate reason was that the Croats and Slovenes (and later all the other non-Serbian nationals) overwhelmingly wanted independence. Under those circumstances an eventual breakup was unavoidable.

Of course, you can look deeper and ask why did they want independence? Was is because of the Serbian dominance in the united state? The disappointment with the pan-national ideals of Yugoslavia? Economic considerations? The deep cultural and historical differences between the nations? Maybe local power-hungry politicians convinced them? Possibly it was part of a larger worldwide wave of nationalism (e.g. the breakup of USSR & Czechoslovakia)?

The answer, like in many similar historical cases, is that nobody knows. Possibly all the factors above (and many others) contributed in one way or another. Which was the most important? It's anyone's guess.

  • Serbia dominated the union through the office of the President once every six years like all the other republics. It changed hands (rotating) once every year on May 15th since Tito died in 1980-1991. Serbia dominated the wars by control of the former Yugoslavian army which they inherited by remaining in the union while the others left. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_heads_of_state_of_Yugoslavia – JMS Jun 26 '18 at 17:07
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TLDR:

Prior to economic troubles provided by economic mismanagement courtesy of the IMF, most Yugoslavians were not nationalistic separatists; they wanted a unified Yugoslavia. After economic troubles, IMF/Nato in its cold war methodology fanned the flames of nationalism to put nationalist into power. In this view, Milosevic was a tool of the greater powers that had the support of people who were "left out in the cold" by IMF economic restructuring.

Long answer:

There are a few thoughts about Yugoslavia and the break-up that get bounced around. And then, there is what really happened. I will try to first enunciate these meme-style views, then present what I feel is a "centrist" view.

The Conservative Western Press View

Yugoslavia was created artificially, bringing together 3 natural enemies: Catholics, Muslims and Orthodox Christians. It was kept together by Tito who was a strong Stalin-like communist dictator. Once Tito died, there was no strong hand to keep the various ethnicities in line. The Slovenians and the Croats wanted independence and to have free democracies with free markets. The Serbs, however, wanted to stay communist and have a Serb dominated Yugoslavia, after having been held down by Tito. So when Slovenia and Croatia seceded, they attacked them and tried to ethnically cleanse them in order to have more territory. This became even worse when Bosnia wanted to be independent, because the Bosnians are Muslims and are even more defenseless and hated by the Ultra-Nationalistic Serbs. So the EC, then the UN and finally the US had to step in to stop Serb aggression, which they did by sanctions and bombing which eventually stopped the ethnic cleansing and Serb aggression. Then they did the same thing in Kosovo before the Serbs could kill all the Albanians. So it was a great moment, because it showed that the EC, Nato and the US could, with UN backing, do something positive to halt the bad guys in the world from doing evil Hitler genocide stuff in the post cold war climate. This is called Responsibility to Protect (R2P), which involves humanitarian military action based not on the attacking countries' interests, but rather on enforcing international standards of human rights and justice.

A reference related to this view point can be found in A Problem from Hell: America and the Age of Genocid. I want to point out that this is the narrative I recall from the press in the 1990s. In retrospect, it seems a little bit too clean. We all know that the United States is not so altruistic; certainly there were some ulterior motives, right?

A Pseudo-Marxist View

The Second Yugoslavia was founded by the anti-fascist resistance led by Tito, which defeated the Nazi collaborator Croat Ustashis who were responsible for the a thorough genocide. This was part of a larger trend, where the anti-fascist resistance in countries like Italy, Greece, Yugoslavia, USSR were all intimately linked with the communist parties. As soon as the fascists were defeated, both the USSR and Nato moved in quickly to "re-establish order." In the case of the USSR, this meant solidifying Stalin's control over the parties, and in the case of Nato, it meant simply wiping out the partisans and putting the fascists back into power (see Operation Gladio). The two powers thus reached an agreement at Yalta on how to divide Europe between them, with Nato getting Greece and Yugoslavia being split between the two.

So Yugoslavia had a mixed character: it was part of the eastern-bloc Mutual Assistance Council Thinger, but was not in the Warsaw pact. It received military aid from Nato, but had a soviet-style economy with a one-party system and worker protection: pensions, housing, education, health. Since it was on the border, trying to live in both worlds, this was an opening for Washington to undermine the system using the IMF (International Monetary Fund). They needed loans and the IMF would lend them money, but with the usual demands for structural "reforms" meaning cuts in social services and disregard for unemployment. This led to the usual IMF destruction: the reforms squash growth, and the shrinking economy means you need more loans. Cuts in social services and unemployment led people to turn towards various forms of extremism, including nationalism.[1]

In this mix, it was Slovenia that was richest and most connected economically to western suppliers and clients, so Slovenia was intentionally pushed to secede: "why should you have to pay all these taxes that just go to less developed republics like Macedonia and Serbia? Plus you have to deal with all the unemployed immigrants that come from there. Plus on a deeper more racist level: you’re Europeans like us, not like those backwards communist Serbs."

The Slovenian and Croatian intelligentsia turned this into the anti-communist rhetoric. "We want to be advanced and free and democratic; they want to be backward and communist." So using this opening, Slovenia was a great opportunity for the West to get into the Yugoslav markets from which it had been locked out. The EC, and especially Germany, Austria, and Hungary, peeled away one by one at the republics: first Slovenia and then Croatia, then Bosnia, and finally Macedonia were opened up.

But the ones that wouldn't open their markets, that wanted to hang on to their decent social standards, that did not want to privatize everything, were the Serbs/Montenegrins. So they had to be punished. And if you look at every action that was taken, there was no type of standing up for principle or defending human rights; the only constant in the decisions was, you have to punish the Serbs. So for example: the Croatians have a right to secede, but the Bosnian Serbs cannot secede from Bosnia. you have to condemn genocide in Srebrenica, but not in Mostar. Etc.

A source for this viewpoint is To Kill a Nation: The Attack on Yugoslavia. This book was written by Micheal Parenti I want to point out that while this account is vastly different from the one we encountered in the US press in the 1990s, it is a viewpoint that is held by some people. Whom? I am not sure, but a quick google search shows that at least some people find it plausible. Here's one link from that search, How the IMF Dismantled Yugoslavia .

Another Source

Let's look a a book put out in 1995 by The Brookings Institute, which is a policy research institute that is labeled as "centrist" in the spectrum of US politics; so it might be considered "conservative" in comparison to other countries. The book is called Balkan Tragedy: Chaos and Dissolution after the Cold War and was written by Susan L. Woodward. Looking at the list of what she has written, I think somebody from SE should email her and ask her to answer this question for us.

In this book, Woodward firmly rejects "The Conservative Western Press View" as not fitting at all with the way things actually happened, and she spends about two thirds of the book showing how wrong the paradigm is, with excellent original source material from mainstream sources.

She parallels Parenti's work to a large degree, but with a few interesting differences:

  • for Parenti, there is a conscious concerted effort to break up Yugoslavia and punish the Serbs; for Woodward, it's a tragedy that happened due to Western diplomats being stuck in a cold-war mindset and seeing the ethnic divisions in the country instead of the actual economic and social situation. In other words, Woodward says the problem is diplomats believe the "The Conservative Western Press View", vs. Parenti who says "no it's all part of a systematic plan."
  • Woodward assumes: well it’s a good thing to institute free-market reforms and liberal democracy and all that crap, but it was done in a brutal, undemocratic way in Yugoslavia that ended up destroying the country. According to Parenti, that IS the problem: wherever there is a decent system for workers, it will be attacked by market austerity, so Yugo should have just been left alone.
  • Parenti sees Kosovo as just another attack on Serbia and part of the same assault on a decent social system. Woodward, while being against bombing Serbia and against sanctions as counter-productive, nevertheless feels the Albanian majority in Kosovo was being abused by the Serbs and so should have been allowed sovereignty.
  • Milosevic: Parenti sees all the western attacks on him, but sees no evidence for him to be called a "monster;" Woodward sees Milosevic as an extremist nationalist that Nato kept in power, but who did not represent the majority opinion in Yugo/Serbia.

Woodward's contentions in brief:

Use of extremism to destroy a nation. She does a damn thorough job showing that prior to the 90's, most Yugoslavians were not nationalistic separatists, but EC/Nato diplomacy did backflips to ensure that minority-supported nationalist leaders were put into power; and that they became the representatives for entire republics (not just their respective ethnic groups). This argument can go a long way to explaining a lot of stuff: Nazi Germany destroying Wiemar, Young Turks destroying Ottoman, etc...

Use of austerity to destroy a nation. Same point as Parenti, just without the assurance of a pro-socialism perspective. But she spends about the 1st half of the book on the sordid history of IMF indebtedness.

Inability to define crisis as civil war/war of aggression/state-building. The Germans (and subsequent diplomatic followers) doing intellectual gymnastics to try to define the situation: The Slovenes and Croatians want to secede? Must defend their right to sovereignty! The Bosnian Serbs want to secede? No way, sovereignty's not for everyone! So they go through these series of contradictions in order to continuously re-define the situation to suit their true aims. Here Woodward just chalks this up to confusion, an inability to understand the complex situation, being stuck in a coldwar mindset, etc., Parenti would just say it's all BS because all they really want to do is to punish the somewhat socialist Serbs.

Inability (unwillingness) to reach comprehensive solution before jumping to secession

Nations or states? Muslims or Bosnians/Bosniaks Woodward makes a great point about Ali Izetebegovic saying that his position was completely misunderstood (on purpose?) by the EC/Nato. He was the rotating head of the 7-member Bosnian presidency at the time of secession, and was also head of the largest Muslim nationalist party in Bosnia. They conflated the two roles, essentially shutting out not only all the Bosnian Croats and Serbs but also most of the Muslims and anyone else who did not agree with the separatist project (ie, most Bosnians). In order to do this, they had to shuffle terms around like Bosnian/Bosniak.

How to manipulate the Nato into bombing. Woodward does an excellent job showing how the Serbs/Monts were light years behind the Slovenes, Croats and Muslims in being able to manipulate western opinion to force a "humanitarian intervention".

So that's what I've got, a summary of three viewpoints. I think most people will look at their own political viewpoints, and choose one of these perspectives that matches their view points. That's the trick with recent history, right?

TLDR:

Prior to economic troubles provided by economic mismanagement courtesy of the IMF, most Yugoslavians were not nationalistic separatists; they wanted a unified Yugoslavia. After economic troubles, IMF/Nato in its cold war methodology fanned the flames of nationalism to put nationalist into power. In this view, Milosevic was a tool of the greater powers that had the support of people who were "left out in the cold" by IMF economic restructuring.

Note

[1] Aka, Trump? Brexit? In this view, these are similar social phenomena.

2

Restricting this answer to the objective, "What reforms the Milosevic introduce?" From the Britanica article:

As Serbia’s party leader, Milošević demanded that the federal government restore full control to Serbia over the autonomous provinces of Vojvodina and Kosovo. And at a time when the federal government was trying to introduce free-market reforms in order to relieve the faltering Yugoslav economy, he emerged as a leading defender of the socialist tradition of state economic intervention, attacking economic reform for its social costs.

In 1988 Milošević replaced the party leadership in Vojvodina and Kosovo provinces with his own supporters, and in 1989 the Serbian assembly ousted Stambolić from the republic’s presidency, replacing him with Milošević.

In 1990 Milošević pushed through changes to the Serbian constitution that curtailed the provinces’ autonomy.

This single action is probably enough to justify breaking up the country; "curtailed autonomy" is always something imposed, never celebrated.

He resisted a growing movement in favour of multiparty elections, and he sought to use the extensive Serbian diaspora throughout Yugoslavia in his fight against confederalism, a looser union of sovereign republics that was advocated by the leaders of Croatia and Slovenia.

Once again, history is full of examples of "the fight against confederalism..." being the justification for the breakup of a country. Once you start fighting against confederalism, you're pretty much inviting revolution. And in fact the next year, Croatia and Slovenia elected officials who declared independence.

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Question: Did Serb nationalism play an outsized role in the breakup of Yugoslavia?

Maybe, but Serb nationalism was always present. It provided the spark which started WWI. It was present in the Yugoslavian civil war during WWII. It was constant even during Tito's rule. Serb nationalism wasn't unique to the troubles, nor was nationalism unique to Serbia when Yugoslavia broker up. Thus I don't believe it(Serb Nationalism) was the cause of the war which came during / after the breakup of Yugoslavia. Nationalism across the board among the former Yugoslavia Republics was a piece, but what was more causal(outsized causal reasons) was poor national leadership after Tito(who set a high bar), and misguided International Community policies which created the military disparity which Serbian Nationalism tried to exploit.

A dictatorship has the advantage of being politically nimble as it can turn 180 degrees based upon the opinion of one man. When that man is decisive the change in direction can be dramatic. That's what Yugoslavia did under Tito. Closely allied and heavily dependent upon the Soviet Union's aid during his civil war and WWII, after the war Tito became the west's "favorite communist". He aided the west in ending the Greek civil war in the 1950s (communist expansion) by standing up to Stalin and closing his boarders to the Soviet Union which was sponsoring the rebels. He rejected the Warsaw Pact and was the leader of the only communist country to participate in the Marshal Plan. He was tacitly aligned with NATO,(mutual defense pact with Turkey a NATO country). He pioneered a third choice during the cold war for non aligned countries. He received foreign aid, and trade from both the west and the east and the people of Yugoslavia enjoyed a standard of living, security, and pace of modernization which was as great as anywhere else under communism.

When Tito died in 1980 so did the Yugoslavian economic miracle and so did powerful economic and political forces which kept the elements of cooperation and unity alive at the expense of the ever present nationalism among the member republics. After Tito the office of the Presidency which rotated every year on May 15 between the Presidents of the six republics of Yugoslavia, became an opprotunity for each new national leader to favor his own state at the expense of the rest of the country. Every nation state thus got one good year out of six which pleased nobody. The difference between Tito's rule and what they had afterwards was stark. All the old nationalism motivations which were dormant and unsatisfied under Tito came to the foreground as people felt the economic pinch caused by mismanagement and corruption. The Serbs who were a powerful member of the collective were at a disadvantage economically and geographically to other parts of Yugoslavia once divided. The Serbs thanks to International policies found themselves installed as the most militarily powerful region left in the collective. So they decided to fight for unity or failing that a more favorable split rather than be reduced economically and politically by their recognized ancestral territory. Ultimately they tried to hollow out a better geographic space for themselves at the expense of their once countrymen.

International Community

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When Yugoslavia broke up(Sept 1991) Serbia which remained in the union, inherited the well equipped Yugoslavian army(JNA). This gave Serbia a tremendous advantage in weapons over the newly independent states like Croatia, Slovenia, and Bosnia for half a decade. Worse once the fighting started the UN implemented an arms embargo source 1, (source 2) on the region, which froze the Serbian advantage in place and made it difficult for the breakaway republics to defend themselves. This significantly lowered the cost of the wars for the Serbs. At the heart of this policy of mismanagement by the international community was the failure to understand what was happening. The International Community thought they were managing a civil war, in reality they were favoring Serbia in multiple wars of aggression against their sister republics.

Wikipedia: Lift and Strike
At the beginning of the Yugoslav Wars, the United Nations Security Council passed Resolution 713 on September 25, 1991. The resolution imposed an international arms embargo on all Yugoslav territories, in an effort to prevent escalating violence. At the time the embargo was imposed, only the Yugoslav National Army (JNA), which was believed to be neutral, had significant supplies of heavy weapons. However, as the conflict progressed the JNA fell under Serb control. As a result, Serb forces from Serbia, the Republika Srpska and the Republic of Serbian Krajina inherited large weapons stockpiles from the JNA, leaving Croatia and Bosnia struggling with what they had captured during the Battle of the Barracks or smuggled under difficult conditions. Thus, the arms embargo "cemented an imbalance in weaponry" among the sides in the conflict.[10]

In response to the uneven situation, President Izetbegović and the Bosnian government made repeated calls to lift the arms embargo, so that they could arm their army to resist the Serbs. Izetbegović and other Bosniak politicians also claimed that the embargo was an illegal violation of the Bosnian right to self-defense under Article 51 of the UN Charter.

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Lift the Bosnian Arms Embargo, by Bob Dole, United States Senate Majority Leader
THE LEADERS OF THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY HAVE FAILED TO RESPOND ADEQUATELY OR EFFECTIVELY TO THIS BLATANT AND BRUT ACT OF AGGRESSION AGAINST A U.N. MEMBER STATE(BOSNIA).

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When the International Community did lift the blockade, after nearly five long years, it did so piece meal and the war moved from former republics which were receiving military aid like Croatia, to those which were not like land locked and predominately Muslim Bosnia. The International Community thus played a huge role in creating and maintaining the marshal disparity which enticed Serbia in believing their was a military solution to their problems with their militarily weaker nationalistic slavic brethren.

A Personal Note.

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I toured a Croatian museum dedicated to the war a few months back on the top of Mount Serge which overlooks the walled city of Dubrovnik. The museum is housed inside a fortress built by Napoleon when he invaded in the early 1800s. When Serbia invaded Croatia trying to break off the UN world heritage site and tourism mecca (Dubrovnik) from Croatia, it was the local police force with civilian volunteers which climbed Mount Serge and mounted the defense of the city from this Napoleonic fortress. They dueled with the Serbs trying to come overland from across the mountains. Unfortunately for the defenders the Serbs also came up and down the coast, and had a navy which shelled Dubrovnik and Mount Serge from the Adriatic. The difference in the weaponry used by the two sides of that war was striking, and the international community played a large role in maintaining that imbalance.

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My neighbor is from Albania and he told me that they all were just fed up with another and blaming the other nationalities for things that did not happen or for things that they could never have done. So now they are on their own and can't solve shit but can't blame anyone

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