My understanding (which I am stating in case you find it errant) is that while there were no domesticable animals in the Americas, the East had a history of many plagues received from livestock coupled with their terrible hygiene. Thus while Europeans already had herd immunity from centuries of diseases, when they came to the Americas the natives were hit with them all at once, subsequently being all but wiped out.

On Reanimated History it is stated that the vast majority of the native population (like 95%) died after very early explorers came to the new world (sorry I could only find the first half of the skit where Adam says this) and that the following plagues were mere outbreaks in a post-apocalyptic society. Other sources such as Quora give mixed answers to this; however, I don't trust Adam Ruins Everything or Quora. I trust Stack Exchange.

Furthermore, why didn't the Europeans realize that they were spreading disease? A couple of other web pages talk about Europeans who did know that they were spreading disease, and actually used it as an act of war; however, all of these happened 200 years after 1492, leaving the question of how people before and after responding.

I think it matters to know both when the Native Americans died, and how much the Easterners knew about what was happening, and if they could have helped.

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    Part of the data behind an answer is that the "origin stories" of the Plains Indians describe "moving from the mountains and badlands onto the empty desolate Plains" just a few generations earlier. Further, the astounding number of Buffalo roaming wild by the early 1800's seems consistent with the near disappearance of their main predator - humans - just a few generations earlier. – Pieter Geerkens Dec 9 '20 at 2:38
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    @Pieter Geerkens: This is rather misleading, since the Plains tribes couldn't really follow that buffalo hunting lifestyle (or really live on the plains at all) without the horse, which of course wasn't available until the Europeans brought them. Nor were the buffalo subject to any great hunting pressure until the advent of good rifles and market hunting. – jamesqf Dec 9 '20 at 3:46
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    Ben Kiernan argues in "Blood and Soil" that the complete eradication of the inhabitants of Hispaniola was duea combination of ovework, exploitation and disease. Is this line of thought relevant to your question? – mart Dec 9 '20 at 9:09
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    possibly the europeans didnt realise they were bringing disease with them. I'm sure they didnt realise they could carry diseases whilst showing no symptoms themselves. Their doctors were still working off the written works of Galen from Roman times. – bigbadmouse Dec 9 '20 at 10:33
  • It's also important to recognize that the disease interchange wasn't entirely one-way: the Europeans got a syphilis pandemic shortly after Columbus. Then there are the various plagues that came to Europe from points east. For instance, the Black Plague and the Plague of Justinian each killed an estimated 20-50% of the European population: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plague_of_Justinian – jamesqf Dec 9 '20 at 17:19

Let's address the easy issue first. At the time of the Colombian Exchange, the Germ Theory of disease was still about 300 years in the future (and its acceptance more than 400). An educated European of the age most likely would have attributed the natives' susceptibility to Smallpox to their own living conditions, because that's how the prevailing miasma theory worked.

As for the order, it depends a lot on the Conquistador/Explorer/Settlers in question.

For example, Cortes landed in Mexico quite early, and I've been unable to find any reports of disease predating him (doesn't mean it didn't happen, just that I haven't found it). There were however multiple documented plagues that hit the Aztecs after that. There was a smallpox epidemic that swept through their capital right after Cotes' forces were repulsed in 1520 (not so coincidentally, his next attack in 1521 took the city). There was also a salmonella outbreak 20 years later that supposedly killed 80% of the country.

In 1519, when forces led by Spanish conquistador Hernando Cortés arrived in Mexico, the native population was estimated at about 25 million. A century later, after a Spanish victory and a series of epidemics, numbers had plunged to around 1 million.

Plymouth Colony, on the other hand, while quite early by English standards, happened a century later, and that ended up mattering. The settlement was undoubtedly helped a great deal by the fact that they were met by a native who knew English (due to being kidnapped by an English slaver in 1614), and had returned home to discover that in the meantime his entire tribe had been wiped out by a disease.

Thus the English colonists had access to someone who knew their language, the languages of (the surviving) nearby tribes, and how best to farm and hunt the land they had landed in, with nothing much better to do with himself than help them out. And that's of course not even bringing up the fact that the area had conveniently been depopulated of humans like his Patuxet tribe by that disease.

For reference, when Squanto finally did succumb to disease less than 2 years later, his grateful host, colony Governor William Bradford, referred to the cause as an "Indian fever". This seems to indicate that he understood that there were diseases that were killing the natives which the English colonists didn't appear susceptible to. However, it also seems that he was either unaware of, or unwilling to acknowledge, that his people actually were carrying those diseases.

  • Several spanish accounts also acknowledge the rapid decline in native population, and it was one of the motives that led Bartolomé de las Casas to write his report about the plundering of America. – Rekesoft Dec 15 '20 at 7:26

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