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I was looking just a tiny bit at the history leading up to the assassination generally blamed for the first World War. The data seem so surprising I just have to ask what I'm missing...

Oskar Potiorek had some apparent bona fides:

  • He is said to be the target of the assassination plot before it switched to Ferdinand.

  • He was rabidly anti-Serb, to the extent of supporting tremendously oppressive laws against all organizations, while provoking riots that were a major step leading up to the modern war in Bosnia.

  • I assume he would have had authority over prior prosecutions of Serb activists later involved in the plot.

On the other hand...

  • He ignored an urgent report of an assassination plot two weeks in advance.

  • He taunted the Archduke to ignore the first attack with a grenade saying "Do you think Sarajevo is full of assassins?", even while chivalrously encouraging the wife to stay at City Hall

  • He "forgot" to inform the driver of a route change that would have made the car not pass by the shooter.

  • He ordered the driver to turn around (apparently the car then stalled) a few feet in front of the assassin!

  • He was the one in the car not shot.

  • His role as a general in the war afterward was remarkably incompetent.

Now I'm not actually seeing a contradiction in these things. A role in persecuting Serbs would have given him a chance (with a little legerdemain) to organize selected individuals into a plot. What evaluation has been made of his involvement?

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  • 4
    Never assume malice for things that can be explained by incompetence.
    – Spencer
    Commented Dec 22, 2021 at 23:35
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    @Spencer: One of my favorite sayings, up until the summer of past year.
    – Lucian
    Commented Dec 23, 2021 at 0:03
  • 4
    @Lucian - Last year is good for the followup: "Sufficiently advanced incompetence is indistinguishable from malice."
    – T.E.D.
    Commented Dec 23, 2021 at 3:03
  • 3
    "I should file an impotent and unheard protest regarding how this question was considered. " - If it is unheard, it is because it is filed in the wrong place. Meta is where the community discusses moderation policy and conventions, and protest there are likely to be heard. I was not part of the moderation here, but my hypothesis is that the research and the question weren't the problem; I suspect that the problem arose when you used the term "a suspect" - which carries (IMO) lots of baggage. Revision might reopen.
    – MCW
    Commented Dec 23, 2021 at 13:51
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    @MCW There is a diff between meta.history.stackexchange.com and history.meta.stackexchange.com (probably a 1-off typo, but if c&p then in need of correction?) Commented Dec 25, 2021 at 14:45

1 Answer 1

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His role as a general in the war afterward was remarkably incompetent.

You answered your question yourself. The above description is very accurate of his entire career; remarkably incompetent. It certainly explains the points you raise:

  • He ignored an urgent report of an assassination plot two weeks in advance.
  • He taunted the Archduke to ignore the first attack with a grenade saying "Do you think Sarajevo is full of assassins?", even while chivalrously encouraging the wife to stay at City Hall
  • He "forgot" to inform the driver of a route change that would have made the car not pass by the shooter.
  • He ordered the driver to turn around (apparently the car then stalled) a few feet in front of the assassin!

Even Wikipedia mentions his incompetence:

He was reportedly very zealous in his actions (multiple times he claimed "I was spared at Sarajevo so that I may die avenging it!"), but was apparently an inept commander.

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